Oleh Dr. Saiful Mujani
Dissertation Summary :
A global tendency in the post-cold war period is the
increase in the number of democratic or democratizing regimes. However,
this tendency does not occur in most predominantly Muslim states
(Freedom House 2002, Lipset 1994, Huntington 1997, 1991). On the basis
of Freedom House’s Index of Political Rights and Civil Liberty in the
last three decades, Muslim states have generally failed to establish
democratic politics. In that period, only one Muslim country has
established a full democracy for more than five years, i.e. Mali in
Africa. There are twelve semi-democratic countries, defined as partly
free. The rest (35 states) are authoritarian (fully not free). Moreover,
eight of the fifteen most repressive regimes in the world in the last
decade are found in Muslim states.
This is a significant finding. In virtually every
region of the world—Asia, Africa, Latin America, the former USSR, and
Eastern Europe—the democratic tendency is strong. Authoritarian politics
has been declining in non-Muslim states, while in Muslim states it has
been relatively constant. Moreover, the collapse of the USSR was
followed by the rise of new nationstates, six of which have Muslim
majorities: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgistan,Tajikistan, Turkmenistan,
and Uzbekistan. Within these Muslim countries, based on the Freedom
House index, authoritarian regimes have emerged, while within their non-
Muslim counterparts in the former USSR democratic regimes have been the
norm.
Cyprus is also an interesting case. The country is
divided into Greek and Turkish Cyprus, and their democraticness varies.
The Greek side is more democratic. One aspect of the third wave of
democratization, to quote Huntington (1991), is the rise of democratic
regimes in Eastern Europe. However, two predominantly Muslim countries,
Albania and Bosnia, have been the least democratic in the region.
Students of Islam commonly acknowledge that the Arab
World or the Middle East is the heart of Islamic culture and
civilization. Islam has been almost identical with the Arab world.
Muslim elites, activists, or intellectuals from this region, compared to
other regions, are the most willing to articulate their Islamic
identity, solidarity, and brotherhood as reactions against non-Muslim
culture and politics. Unfortunately, most regimes of the region are
authoritarian. The question is: why is democracy rare in Muslim states,
even in the current period of global democratization? If democracy is
introduced to a Muslim state, why is it likely to be unstable or
unconsolidated? Is this phenomenon associated with Islam? Some students
of Muslim society and of political science believe that Islam is
responsible for the absence of democracy in the Muslim world (Huntington
1997 1991, 1984; Kedourie 1994, 1992, Lipset 1994, Lewis 2002, 1993,
Gellner 1994, Mardin 1995).
However, this claim has rarely been tested through
systematic observation on the basis ofmeasures of the two critical
concepts, i.e. Islam and democracy, and how the two may be
systematically associated. This study intends to fill this gap through
elaboration and testing of the arguments of the scholars who have
preceded me. The claim that Islam is responsible for the lack of
democracy or for unstable democracy in predominantly Muslim states must
be evaluated as a problem of political culture in which political
behavior, institutions, and performance are shaped by culture.
The political culture approach is necessary to assess
the core arguments and the logic underlying the analysis of Huntington
and other critics of Islamic democracy. At the same time, Huntington and
the others are not systematic in the way in which they construct their
argument, nor do they provide satsifactory evidence to support their
claim. This study is designed to approach the issue more systematically
by deploying the civic culture perspective laid out initially by Gabriel
Almond and Sidney Verba (1963). In its focus on attitudes, beliefs, and
orientations, this perspective is the closest to Huntington, while
being scientifically more persuasive.
Almond and Verba’s Civic Culture is the first work
which addresses systematically the problem of democracy from the
political culture perspective. They define political culture as
psychological orientation toward social objects, or as attitudes toward
the political system and toward the self as a political actor (Almond
and Verba 1963). This orientation includes individual knowledge or
belief, feelings or affection, and evaluation or judgment of the
political system in general, political inputs and outputs, and one’s own
role within the political system. Variation in these orientations and
attitudes are believed to shape political participation and to effect
democratic stability.
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